Evidence register

Sources and limits

The source register separates supplied project material, official descriptive data and claims that remain hypotheses.

SourceRole in this versionStatus
The Olivia Effect paperOriginal hypothesis, variables and illustrative equation.Conceptual source
Original website specificationInitial sections, tone and proposed information architecture.Project brief
Condensed transcriptProvenance for the early investigation and candidate cultural artefacts.Reconstruction
ONS baby names from 1996Official annual rank and count dataset; latest listed edition covers 1996 to 2025.Official dataset
ONS baby names 2021Source for Olivia’s sixth consecutive year at number one and count of 3,649.Official bulletin
ONS baby names 2023Source for Olivia’s national rank and regional pattern in 2023.Official bulletin
ONS births 2025Current descriptive context for annual birth totals; not used as a causal explanation.Official bulletin
Claims ledger

What this version does not establish

The absence of a refutation is not evidence for a preferred mechanism.

No single cultural cause

The site does not establish that a celebrity, television character, literary source or platform caused Olivia’s rise.

No proof of slop-driven naming

The framework proposes a way to describe attention systems; it has not yet generated a discriminating empirical test in this domain.

No claim of randomness

The toy model shows that repetition can arise without interaction. It does not show that real naming choices are independent.

Office for National Statistics material is referenced under the terms stated on the ONS website. No ONS spreadsheet is redistributed in this package. External links require internet access; the remainder of the site is fully local.